Prevalence, socioeconomic drivers, and protective impact of food assistance on household food insecurity during the conflict in Lebanon
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1
Department of Nutrition and Food Sciences, American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon
2
Institute for Development, Research, Advocacy and Applied Care (IDRAAC), Beirut, Lebanon
3
Faculty of Medicine, Saint George University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon
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Department of Psychiatry and Clinical Psychology, Saint George Hospital University Medical Center, Beirut, Lebanon
Popul. Med. 2026;8(Supplement Supplement 1):A3457
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
The recent conflict in Lebanon has intensified food insecurity among vulnerable households. This study estimated the prevalence of household food insecurity and identified socioeconomic determinants in conflict-affected governorates.
METHODS:
We performed a cross-sectional household assessment during the recent conflict in Lebanon (August 2024 - January 2025) using vulnerability-based chain-referral sampling. Trained social workers conducted face-to-face interviews including socioeconomic indicators. Household food insecurity was measured using the 9-item Household Food Insecurity Scale (1). Multivariable linear regression with stepwise selection (p < 0.20) produced adjusted β coefficients.
RESULTS:
Of the 2,164 households included, the most frequently reported experiences were eating unwanted food (52% ) and eating fewer meals due to shortage (45% ). Based on the scale, 74.8% of households were classified as severely food insecure. In the adjusted model, residing in precarious shelters was associated with higher insecurity (β = 1.86; 95% CI 1.05–2.67), and greater crowding index remained predictive (β = 1.49; 95% CI 0.88–2.11). Compared with households residing in privately owned homes, those who were hosted (β = 2.24; 95% CI 1.14–3.34) or paying rent (β = 2.30; 95% CI 1.33–3.28) had significantly higher insecurity scores. Lack of health insurance was associated with higher food insecurity (β = 1.65; 95% CI 1.05–2.26). A balanced or surplus income–expenditure profile was protective (β = −1.13; 95% CI −1.70 to −0.57). Receipt of food assistance was strongly protective: food parcels (β = −3.01; 95% CI −3.92 to −2.10) and vouchers/cash (β = −2.91; 95% CI −4.17 to −1.65) were each associated with markedly lower food insecurity compared with no assistance.
CONCLUSIONS:
Severe food insecurity is highly prevalent during the conflict, with financial instability and displacement identified as primary predictors. Crucially, food assistance programs demonstrated a significant protective effect, underscoring their essential role in mitigating hunger during this emergency.